Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 74%+2.0pt
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleOct 30, 26, 2:50 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWho will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves Yes if the Republican party wins the Texas House of Representatives in 2026.Outcome verified from Texas House of Representatives.
- Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the House of Representatives is sat for the session following the election.
- If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.