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Current community forecast
Taylor Rehmet 78.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 29, 26, 9:30 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
The November 2026 election features a rematch between March runoff winner and current incumbent Democrat the named outcome and his Republican opponent Leigh Wambsganns.
- They are running for a full term in the Texas State Senate, after Rehmet won a partial term earlier in the year to replace the exiting state senator.
- Background on their previous meeting:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025–26_Texas%27s_9th_Senate_district_special_election
- Resolution criteria
- The general election will occur on November 3, 2026.