Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Republican Party · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
Republican Party 94%
Republican Party 94%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$66.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$880.9
Bid / Ask
— / —
Republican PartySpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+1.8 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 10, 26, 6:24 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Republican Party
Loading selected book…
—
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Texas State Senate in the 2026 Texas midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Texas Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Lieutenant Governor's Office as a result of the specified election.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first majority leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such majority leader is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
