KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 13% 98%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$9K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCSep 13, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Moderate Party in the 2026 Swedish general election is 13% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Swedish Election Authority
- The percentage is the share of the vote received by the Moderate Party in the election to the Riksdag.
- It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Resolution uses Valmyndigheten's final certified result, NOT the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts.
- Votes cast in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count Invalid, spoiled, blank and rejected ballots are excluded from the denominator
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Moderate Party in the 2026 Swedish general election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 13% at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent resolve?
- Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2027.
- How is Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Moderate Party in the 2026 Swedish general election is 13% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.