KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 90% 52%Market line of 9 lines
At least 90% 52%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$4.2K
Medium open interestSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 90% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:State Board of Elections, Annapolis, MD
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Glenn Ivey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 82%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 82% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 84%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 84% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 86%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 86% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 88%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 88% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 90%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 90% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 92%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 92% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 96%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 96% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 94%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 94% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 98%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Glenn Ivey in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 98% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
