KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 36% 34%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$346.9
Liquidity
$346.9
Low liquiditySpread
69.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bob Smith in the 2026 CA-24 House election is 24% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bob Smith ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bob Smith in the 2026 CA-24 House election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 36% at 34% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent resolve?
- CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bob Smith in the 2026 CA-24 House election is 24% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.