KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2027 85%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2027 85%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Open interest
$402.9
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
—
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Oct 27, 26, 9:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2027
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump declassifies new UFO files by which date?
PolymarketJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
PolymarketWill Melania Trump release an autobiography while not married to Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketRules
If the federal government has released, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- Releases by any executive branch department or agency count, including new tranches posted on the Department of War's war.gov/UFO page. A release counts if it includes at least one document, audio file or video file that existed at Issuance and that the federal government had not released before Issuance, including a previously released file with redactions newly removed. The following do NOT count: Re-posting files only in the same form in which the federal government released them before Issuance Releases by Congress or its committees Statements, briefings or testimony about UAP that do not release documents, audio files or video files
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the federal government has released, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the federal government has released, after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 15, 2026
- If the federal government has released, after Issuance and before Nov 15, 2026, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.