KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 73%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$50
Low liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Premier of Quebec
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KalshiRules
If the named outcome is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- News confirmation is a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that explicitly states the described event occurred, is true, or has been verified; is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence; and presents factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
- The qualifying person is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after the 2026 Quebec general election once the post-election government is formed.
- The person must hold the office with its full powers and the government must command the confidence of the National Assembly.
- If the government changes, this is the incoming Premier sworn in by the Lieutenant Governor.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election??
- Kalshi prices Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 73% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election? resolve?
- Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.