Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 12, 2026, 1:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecast
Parti Québécois 54.1%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 45 days ago
StaleAug 23, 25, 2:28 PMOct 5, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
CAQ19%
Compare venues· Parti Québécois
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall92% match · verified | High | 71% | — | $566.5 | $163.2K | 5 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 54% | — | — | — | 45 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Quebec General Election Winner
2mo
71%
+0.5pt16%
13%
+30 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$697.6K
24h Vol$566.5
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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