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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Texas's 15th District margin of victory
Texas's 15th District margin of victory

Texas's 15th District margin of victory

6.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Democrats, 8+ pts
Democrats, 8+ pts 32%+6.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1

Liquidity

$7.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

28.0% / 33.0%

Spread

17.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 5, 26, 8:21 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Democrats, 8+ pts32%

Rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Texas's 15th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

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Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

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$3.5
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Texas Senate margin of victory

$2.9
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Maine's 1st District margin of victory

Maine's 1st District margin of victory

$2.1
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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Texas's 15th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.