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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Ohio Governor margin of victory
Ohio Governor margin of victory

Ohio Governor margin of victory

7.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Republicans, 3+ pts
Republicans, 3+ pts 46%+7.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$4.4

Liquidity

$16.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

40.0% / 47.0%

Spread

17.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Republicans, 3+ pts46%

Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

Related Markets

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

$52.2
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts: 93%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

$8.3
Democrats, 3+ pts: 55%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

$6
Republicans, 1+ pts: 35%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

$5.1
Democrats, 9+ pts: 41%KalshiKALSHI
Maine's 1st District margin of victory

Maine's 1st District margin of victory

$4.1
Democrats, 17+ pts: 91%KalshiKALSHI
Ohio's 12th District margin of victory

Ohio's 12th District margin of victory

$3.7
Republicans, 24+ pts: 54%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

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Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.