KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ross, 28+ pts 89%Leader of 9 outcomes
Ross, 28+ pts 89%Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$190
Low open interestSpread
8.4 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 8:24 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 2nd District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
