KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityRepublicans, 2+ pts 33%+13.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$500
Liquidity
$4.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
27.0% / 32.0%
Spread
18.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 8:20 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republicans, 2+ pts33%
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.