KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Stutzman, 26+ pts 52%Market line of 9 lines
Stutzman, 26+ pts 52%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$420
Low open interestSpread
8.2 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 8:23 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
