KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Troy Carter 12%+6.9pt
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$359
Liquidity
$8.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
7.7% / 15.0%
Spread
7.3 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 26, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
LA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Republican nominee?
KalshiArbitrage opportunity between Kalshi and Polymarket on Gavin Newsom as 2028 Democratic nominee disappears by:
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic nominee?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Democratic Party of Louisiana
- **Important information:** Louisiana's 2026 U.S. House elections have reverted from closed party primaries to an open "jungle" primary system.
- Under this system, all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party, and the state-administered election does not produce a formal party nominee.
- A candidate's party affiliation on the ballot is an informational designation, not a nomination, and party endorsements do not constitute nominations for purposes of this event.
- If Louisiana law is amended to restore a formal nomination process for U.S. House races, or if the relevant state party formally designates a nominee for a given seat, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for LA-02 Democratic nominee??
- Kalshi prices Troy Carter at 12% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does LA-02 Democratic nominee? resolve?
- LA-02 Democratic nominee? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is LA-02 Democratic nominee? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.