Current implied probability
Akhilesh Yadav 1%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16.3K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 9:00 PMApr 30, 30, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Akhilesh Yadav1%
Large trades
$1.5k98.0%
KALSHIAkhilesh Yadav — No16h ago
KALSHIAkhilesh Yadav — No16h agoVolume trend
$16.3kJul 202d of dataJul 21
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If Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Apr 30, 2030, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Rahul Gandhi becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Amit Shah becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.