Current community forecast
No 98%
No 98%Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jan 10, 25, 12:29 PM UTCDec 31, 36, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Andrew recently started a party called "Bruv party".
- Made lots of posts on X about his intentions to become prime minister in UK
- Other markets: https://manifold.markets/Bebop/will-i-achieve-10000month-by-the-en
- Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Updated:
- The question has been updated to provide clearer conditions for determining whether Andrew Tate will become Prime Minister in the UK by the end of 2036.