Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 97.9%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 27, 25, 2:24 PM UTCJan 1, 61, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Background Andrew Tate is a controversial social media influencer and former kickboxer who has expressed political ambitions, including running for UK Prime Minister.
- He is currently under house arrest in Romania facing serious criminal charges including human trafficking and organized crime.
- He also faces separate sexual assault allegations in the UK.
- Tate has been banned from multiple social media platforms due to his controversial content and views.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Andrew Tate is ever sworn in as president of the USA.
- The market will resolve NO if:
