Current community forecast
Yes 75%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 11, 26, 7:22 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Ulrich Siegmund is officially elected and sworn into office as the Ministerpräsident (Prime Minister/Governor) of the German state of Saxony-Anhalt at any point on or before December 31, 2026, at 23:59 CET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Official communications from the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt (landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de) or major credible news outlets (e.g., Tagesschau, Der Spiegel, DW) will be used to verify the outcome.
- Any temporary, provisional, or "acting" caretaker capacity does not qualify for a YES resolution; he must be officially elected to the office of Ministerpräsident by the Landtag.
- In the Saxony-Anhalt state election held on September 6, 2026, the Alternative for Germany (AfD), led by Ulrich Siegmund, won a historic victory, securing 43.8% of the vote and 39 out of 83 seats.
