How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsRussia / Ukraine3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 250 46%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$15K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 10, 26, 4:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketWill the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketUkraine election called by which date?
PolymarketRules
If the number of Representatives voting Yea on a Russia sanctions bill before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
- Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
- The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).
- If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House??
- Kalshi prices Above 250 at 46% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House? resolve?
- How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of Representatives voting Yea on a Russia sanctions bill before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.