KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 1:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 15 · —
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Stored price
Above 20 79%Market line of 9 lines
Above 20 79%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.1K
Open interest
$5.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 15Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 30, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 15
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiOn November 29th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketRules
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 15
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 23
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 23 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 27
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 27 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.