KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 3 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Above 6 48.5%Market line of 8 lines
Above 6 48.5%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.1K
Open interest
$4.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 3Spread
—
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 30, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 3
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
KalshiWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketOn November 29th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 3
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 7 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 9 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.