Will Republicans win 5+ of AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX Senate?
PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElection1moAt least 5
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 91%
No 91%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Open interest
$1.1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 5:30 PM UTCDec 15, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- The six races are the 2026 U.S. Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio (the special election for the seat formerly held by JD Vance), and Texas, as fixed at Issuance. A race counts if it is won by the Republican Party's nominee or, in Alaska, by the candidate whose ballot party designation is Republican. A candidate who wins as an independent, or under a fusion, minor-party, or write-in line without being the Republican Party's own candidate, does NOT count. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. In Alaska, the winner after ranked-choice tabulation governs.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.