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British Columbia general election winner?

4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection1y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

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Current implied probability

BC Conservatives 52%-4.0pt

Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.

Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$108

Open interest

$3.3K

Medium open interest

Spread

5.0 pt

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Sep 23, 26, 8:00 PM UTCOct 24, 27, 2:00 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Venue terms

Source: Kalshi

Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.

Early close:: Yes
Settlement timer:: 30m (informational)

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

British Columbia general election: 3rd place

British Columbia general election: 2nd place

Who will be the next (non-interim) leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?

Manifold Markets

Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?

British Columbia General Election Winner

Rules

If BC Conservatives wins the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles via:Elections BC

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Rules for each outcome

BC Conservatives: If BC Conservatives wins the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
BC NDP: If BC NDP wins the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
BC Greens: If BC Greens wins the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
CentreBC: If CentreBC wins the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
OneBC: If OneBC wins the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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