KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
42 or more 54%Market line of 8 lines
42 or more 54%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$3.5K
Medium open interestSpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 8:00 PM UTCOct 24, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 42 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Elections BC
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Rules for each outcome
- 17 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 22 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 27 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 32 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 37 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 42 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 42 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 47 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 47 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 52 or more
- If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 52 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
