Current community forecast
Caroline Elliott 19.7%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+5.4 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleSep 20, 26, 11:06 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first person who is officially selected as the next permanent, non-interim leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia, following Kerry-Lynne Findlay.
- An interim or acting leader will not trigger resolution; the market will remain open until a permanent successor is chosen.
- The outcome will be determined by official announcements from the Conservative Party of BC or a consensus of credible media outlets.
- Close date is indicative only.
- As resolution is unlikely to be ambiguous, I may trade in this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the next (non-interim) leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia??
- Manifold Markets prices Caroline Elliott at 20% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Who will be the next (non-interim) leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia? resolve?
- Who will be the next (non-interim) leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Who will be the next (non-interim) leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria