KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDemocratic (DFL) party 94.8%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$29
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.9% / 8.8%
Spread
3.9 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 9:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican party5%
Compare venues· Republican Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | High | 8% | 0pt | $740 | $44.7K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Medium | 5% | -3pt | $29 | $2.8K | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
MN-02 House Election Winner
1.1 pts3mo
92%
-1.1pt8%
0%
+5 more outcomes
76 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$14.5K
24h Vol$740
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic (DFL) Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.6k88.6%POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? — YesSitsToPee7d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? — YesSitsToPee7d agoVolume trend
$29Jul 183d of dataJul 28
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If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic (DFL) Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.