KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDemocratic (DFL) party 87.6%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
88.0% / 91.1%
Spread
3.1 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 9:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic (DFL) party92%
Compare venues· Republican Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | High | 8% | 0pt | $2.4K | $32.3K | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 13% | +5pt | $0 | $2.8K | 22 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
MN-02 House Election Winner
2.3 pts3mo
+1.5pt92%
-2.3pt8%
0%
+5 more outcomes
77 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$13.7K
24h Vol$2.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic (DFL) Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.6k88.6%POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? — YesSitsToPee5d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? — YesSitsToPee5d agoVolume trend
$328Jul 182d of dataJul 23
Related Markets
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$713.5KJames Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$451.7KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
$396KVivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
$272.6KAt least 1%: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$248.4KGadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$245.4KGavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic (DFL) Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.