KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Matt Little 95%
Matt Little 95%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$2.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
90.9% / 93.8%
Spread
2.9 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 9:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 14s (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic (DFL) Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Matt Little
- If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic (DFL) Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Eric Pratt
- If the House member sworn in for MN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Matt Little (D) is 92%. The venue spread is about 5 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Matt Little (D) 92% · 3 venues · 5 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Minnesota-02 House Winner · Matt Little 89%
- Also available on Polymarket — MN-02 House Election Winner · Matt Little (D) 96%