KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Manny Rutinel 85.3%+1.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Manny Rutinel 85.3%+1.0ptMarket quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$765.7
Open interest
$19.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 14s (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for CO-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Manny Rutinel
- If the House member sworn in for CO-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabe Evans
- If the House member sworn in for CO-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Manny Rutinel (D) is 86%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Manny Rutinel (D) 86% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — CO-08 House Election Winner · Manny Rutinel (D) 86%