KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRandy Villegas 80.2%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$30.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
80.0% / 82.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Randy Villegas81%
Compare venues· Randy Villegas
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | Medium | 84% | — | $33 | $25.6K | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 81% | — | $0 | $30.1K | 14 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
CA-22 House Election Winner
3mo
84.8%
15.2%
0%
+5 more outcomes
66 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$7.3K
24h Vol$33
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.8k18.0%KALSHIRandy Villegas — No7d ago
KALSHIRandy Villegas — No7d agoVolume trend
$5Jul 512d of dataJul 25
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If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.