GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:27 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Randy Villegas 90.5%
Randy Villegas 90.5%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
89.0% / 93.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 4:11 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California-22?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in CA-22, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — CA-22 House Election Winner · Randy Villegas (D) 91%
- Also available on Kalshi — CA-22 House winner? · Randy Villegas 91%
