GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Aaron Ford 52%
Aaron Ford 52%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$48
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
50.0% / 54.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 18, 26, 2:57 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Nevada?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Nevada, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Nevada gubernatorial election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Aaron Ford (D) is 52%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Aaron Ford (D) 52% · 3 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Nevada? · Republican 51%
- Also available on Polymarket — Nevada Governor Election Winner · Aaron Ford (D) 53%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Nevada Governor Race · Democrat 53%
- Also available on Smarkets — Nevada Gubernatorial Election Winner · Democrat 49%
- Also available on Kalshi — Nevada Governor winner?