Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 26, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Joe Lombardo 59.5%
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 18, 26, 2:57 PMNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Nevada?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Nevada, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Nevada gubernatorial election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Joe Lombardo 59% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Nevada Governor winner? · Joe Lombardo 58%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Nevada Governor Race · Republican 58%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-6.0pt54%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt37.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18M
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+8.6pt79%
- October 31+20.0pt67%
- September 30+19.0pt48%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.8%
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $193.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $11M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 0-3%+6.0pt18.4%
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+2.0pt15.6%
- Ralph Norman, 0-3%+3.0pt13.8%
+15 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.1pt34.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt3%
+15 more outcomes
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nevada Governor Winner?
- Gemini prices Joe Lombardo at 60% as of August 26, 2026.
- When does Nevada Governor Winner resolve?
- Nevada Governor Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Nevada Governor Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Nevada?
- Where else is Nevada Governor Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera).