FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 76%
Democratic Party 76%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10.1K
Medium liquidityTraders
17
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory
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Kalshi2026 Kansas Governor election winner?
Manifold MarketsRules
This set of markets predicts which political party will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the state of Nevada, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market corresponding to the party of the candidate officially elected Governor of Nevada will resolve to "Yes".
- A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on the official party designation under which they appear on the ballot.
- Nevada does not require a runoff election.
- The candidate who receives the highest number of valid votes in the general election is declared the winner.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the Associated Press race call.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Democratic Party is 76%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Democratic Party 76% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Nevada? · Democratic 79%
- Also available on Polymarket — Nevada Governor Election Winner · Aaron Ford (D) 78%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Nevada Governor Race · Democrat 79%
- Also available on Kalshi — Nevada Governor winner? · Aaron Ford 76%