Current implied probability
Marine Le Pen 34.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$592
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
34.0% / 35.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Mar 4, 26, 4:57 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Marine Le Pen35%
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Who will win the next French presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether Marine Le Pen wins the 2027 French presidential election scheduled to held around April 2027.
- The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP).
- This market will resolve to YES if AP reports Marine Le Pen as the winner of the 2027 French presidential election.