Current implied probability
Marine Le Pen 38.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$500
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Apr 11, 27, 12:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Dominique de Villepin be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
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PolymarketRules
Who will win the next French presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether the named outcome wins the 2027 French presidential election scheduled to held around April 2027.
- The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP).
- This market will resolve to YES if AP reports the named outcome as the winner of the 2027 French presidential election.
Open markets
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for French Presidential Election Winner 2027??
- Gemini prices Marine Le Pen at 39% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does French Presidential Election Winner 2027? resolve?
- French Presidential Election Winner 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is French Presidential Election Winner 2027? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the next French presidential election?