Current community forecast
Yes 90.8%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 26, 25, 7:43 AM UTCMar 19, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
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PolymarketRules
As the political landscape in France continues to evolve, all eyes are on the potential candidates for the 2027 presidential election.
- Among the prominent figures, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of La France Insoumise, stands out as a significant contender.
- Here's why betting on Mélenchon's candidacy could be a strategic move:
- Historical Context and Experience: Jean-Luc Mélenchon is no stranger to presidential campaigns, having run in the 2012, 2017, and 2022 elections.
- His extensive experience and established political presence make him a formidable candidate.
- In the 2022 election, Mélenchon secured nearly 22% of the vote in the first round, narrowly missing the runoff1.
Open markets
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? resolve?
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on March 19, 2027.
- How is Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As the political landscape in France continues to evolve, all eyes are on the potential candidates for the 2027 presidential election.