Current implied probability
Sarah McBride 85%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 12:48 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Democratic party win the Delaware's at-large district general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Sarah McBride win the Delaware at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Donyale Hall win the Delaware at-large District Republican primary election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExDelaware at large House General Election: voter turnout
KalshiAlaska-At-Large House Winner
GeminiNorth Dakota-At-Large House Winner
GeminiRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Delaware-At-Large?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in DE-AL, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+14.4pt95%
- Yes-14.4pt5%
- Total Vol
- $20.9M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4M
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75.3%
- New People (NL)+0.9pt19.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $218.7M
- 24h Vol
- $878.6K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt18%
- Gavin Newsom+3.4pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-0.5pt16%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.3%
+38 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-31.0pt21%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-44.0pt13%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-46.0pt11%
+7 more outcomes
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Delaware-At-Large House Winner?
- Gemini prices Sarah McBride at 85% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Delaware-At-Large House Winner resolve?
- Delaware-At-Large House Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Delaware-At-Large House Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Delaware-At-Large?