Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 5:01 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Marty Jackley 95%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
94.0% / 97.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 12:48 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
North Dakota-At-Large House Winner
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KalshiWill Trygve Hammer win the North Dakota at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
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KalshiRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in South Dakota-At-Large?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in SD-AL, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt18%
- Gavin Newsom+3.4pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-0.5pt16%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.3%
+38 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-31.0pt21%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-44.0pt13%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-46.0pt11%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South Dakota-At-Large House Winner?
- Gemini prices Marty Jackley at 95% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does South Dakota-At-Large House Winner resolve?
- South Dakota-At-Large House Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is South Dakota-At-Large House Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in South Dakota-At-Large?