Current implied probability
Yes 90%
Yes 90%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$670.4
Low liquidityTraders
18
Comments
1
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
Manifold MarketsLula to finish his presidential term?
FutuurBernardo Arévalo to finish his presidential term in Guatemala?
FutuurRules
French president Emmanuel Macron successfully resisted a vote of non-confidence from the Parliament in March of 2023, after using his Executive prerogatives to pass an unpopular pension reform.
- The move gave added more gas to the fire when it comes to riots that had already taken place against the reform, casting doubts on the longevity of Macron in office.
- If Emmanuel Macron still holds office as President of France through the end of his regular term (set to end in May 2027) this market will resolve to “Yes”.
