Current community forecast
No 88.4%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 12, 23, 1:59 PM UTCDec 31, 00, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsEmmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurWill Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
Manifold MarketsMacron out by which date?
PolymarketRules
The current limit is two consecutive terms.
- The history provides some examples of creative reinterpretation of this wording.
