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Current community forecast
No 90%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 19 minutes ago
Aug 24, 24, 7:17 PM UTCApr 10, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurWill Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsMacron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
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Manifold MarketsWill any other NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsMacron out by which date?
PolymarketRules
Article 16 gives full power to the french president for a month minimum, in case of a crisis.
- Since the early elections in July, France is currently having a political crisis that may prevent the creation of a stable government and the exercise of legislative power.
- Two conditions must be met for him to invoke it. - a serious and immediate threat to the institutions of the Republic, the independence of the Nation, the integrity of its territory or the execution of its international commitments
- - the interruption of the regular functioning of the constitutional public authorities (executive, legislative and judicial powers).
- There must be a threat against the republic, and the republic must be in a position where it cannot act to save itself.
- What powers does it allows ? - Disregard the principle of the separation of powers.
