Current community forecast
No 94.8%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 24, 7:17 PM UTCApr 10, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Article 16 gives full power to the french president for a month minimum, in case of a crisis.
- Since the early elections in July, France is currently having a political crisis that may prevent the creation of a stable government and the exercise of legislative power.
- Two conditions must be met for him to invoke it. - a serious and immediate threat to the institutions of the Republic, the independence of the Nation, the integrity of its territory or the execution of its international commitments
- - the interruption of the regular functioning of the constitutional public authorities (executive, legislative and judicial powers).
- There must be a threat against the republic, and the republic must be in a position where it cannot act to save itself.
- What powers does it allows ? - Disregard the principle of the separation of powers.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate? resolve?
- Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate? is scheduled to resolve on April 10, 2027.
- How is Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Article 16 gives full power to the french president for a month minimum, in case of a crisis.