Will Gavin Newsom declare their candidacy for US President by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
ForecastExCheck availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 99%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4
Open interest
$4
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
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Manifold MarketsRules
2028 Presidential Run Announced by Dec 31, 2026.
- Will Gavin Newsom declare their candidacy for US President by December 31, 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.