Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:36 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Scott Gillingham · —
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Stored reference
Scott Gillingham 89.3%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Scott Gillingham 89.3%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15.2
Liquidity
$204.3K
High liquidityOpen interest
$5.4K
Bid / Ask
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Scott GillinghamSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+12.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 26, 7:48 AM UTCOct 29, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Scott Gillingham
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Winnipeg mayoral election winner? · Scott Gillingham 89%
