Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
2.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 83.2%+2.5pt
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$30.1
Liquidity
$39.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
1
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 3:16 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election wins the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The following rules govern the determination of the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election:
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination in the 2028 United States Presidential Election will qualify as an endorsement for the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
