PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Kuwait 22%+5.5ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$469.6
Liquidity
$122.7K
High liquiditySpread
4.6 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.1 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 26, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by which date?
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LimitlessWill Congress pass a resolution rejecting the U.S.–Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
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Manifold MarketsNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all.
- The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs: - the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or - the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
- Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify.
