PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
September 25 98%+0.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6.6K
Liquidity
$80.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 10:57 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketHow long will Trump and Xi shake hands?
PolymarketUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWho will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US?
Manifold MarketsRules
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
- This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
- Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
- If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt65.7%
- No change-1.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.6pt91.1%
- Republican Party+0.1pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $37M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.9pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.1pt14%
+50 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?
- Ballroom99%
- Melania99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $789.1K
- 24h Vol
- $788.3K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt60.4%
- Republican Party+4.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $10.5M
- 24h Vol
- $652.4K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 3179%
- December 31-0.2pt62%
- November 3047%
+20 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Xi leave the USA??
- Polymarket prices September 25 at 98% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does When will Xi leave the USA? resolve?
- When will Xi leave the USA? is scheduled to resolve on October 8, 2026.
- How is When will Xi leave the USA? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.