Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 73.2%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 25, 8:24 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
I am a H1b, pending my EB2-NIW green card priority date, tech worker, Czech citizen, of no particular notoriety.
- Resolves NO if anytime before Jan 20, 2029 it becomes illegal or unsafe for someone like me living in San Francisco to physically leave USA within a couple hours if they were to decide to do so.
- Resolves YES if through January 20 2029 someone described above would remain able to leave USA expediently.
- Example conditions:
- Exit visa requirement enacted and I / someone similar to me would not automatically pass
- Planes grounded around where I am
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 73.2% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? resolve?
- Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I am a H1b, pending my EB2-NIW green card priority date, tech worker, Czech citizen, of no particular notoriety.