Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 83%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 10, 25, 6:30 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if Donald Trump serves his complete second presidential term from inauguration through January 20, 2029 without being removed from office through impeachment, resignation, death, or other means.
- Resolves NO if he leaves office early for any reason.
- Resolution will be based on official White House records and major news media confirmation.
Open markets
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+20 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029 resolve?
- Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029 is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Donald Trump serves his complete second presidential term from inauguration through January 20, 2029 without being removed from office through impeachment, resignation, death, or other means.