Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 3, 26, 12:17 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff15.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $225.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.6pt91%
- Republican Party+0.1pt9%
- Total Vol
- $37M
- 24h Vol
- $972.4K
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-7.0pt63.7%
- Susan Collins+9.0pt36.3%
- Total Vol
- $6.7M
- 24h Vol
- $883.9K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.9pt13%
+50 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Total Vol
- $10.5M
- 24h Vol
- $651.5K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-3.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate+3.0pt30.7%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt7.9%
+1 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Zohran Mamdani completes full term as NYC mayor??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 91% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Zohran Mamdani completes full term as NYC mayor? resolve?
- Zohran Mamdani completes full term as NYC mayor? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.