PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 1:30 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
October 31100%
November 30100%
November 30Won
Before close: 100% ·
October 31Won
Before close: 100% ·
October 15Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
- Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count.
- The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.