Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 58.7%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 8, 24, 2:49 AM UTCJan 7, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Trump has announced that he has a plan to 'drain the swamp' and in that plan video, linked below, he says he intends to declassify major information.
- Will we get major declassifications regarding the JFK assassination? I'm going to add to this description with any smart comments I get as to what should be the criteria for 'YES' other than my best judgement.
- If there's nothing major declassified about JFK during Trump's entire term, this will resolve to 'NO'
- https://x.com/FarmGirlCarrie/status/1854711284333449626
- Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- Information considered must not have been previously known.