Current implied probability
7-9% 56.3%+8.5ptLeader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.7K
Liquidity
$70K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+19.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 9:44 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.